Pre-tourney Rankings
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2015-16


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
85 Monmouth 4.0%   27 - 7 17 - 3 27 - 7 17 - 3 +6.6      +2.2 118 +4.4 63 80.2 16 +9.0 65 +7.4 1
101 Iona 100.0%   14   22 - 10 16 - 4 22 - 10 16 - 4 +5.3      +4.2 76 +1.1 144 77.9 33 +4.9 103 +5.5 2
119 Siena 0.0%   21 - 12 13 - 7 21 - 12 13 - 7 +3.1      +2.2 116 +0.8 152 74.6 75 +1.9 138 +0.8 3
189 Fairfield 0.0%   19 - 13 12 - 8 19 - 13 12 - 8 -1.6      -0.1 173 -1.5 211 77.7 39 +0.7 155 -0.1 5
207 St. Peter's 0.0%   14 - 16 12 - 8 14 - 16 12 - 8 -3.0      -5.1 300 +2.1 114 63.0 331 -3.9 221 +0.1 4
214 Rider 0.0%   13 - 20 8 - 12 13 - 20 8 - 12 -3.3      -4.0 280 +0.7 157 63.4 326 -5.4 245 -5.4 8
231 Canisius 0.0%   14 - 19 8 - 12 14 - 19 8 - 12 -4.1      +1.9 125 -6.0 317 69.7 185 -4.0 225 -5.3 7
239 Manhattan 0.0%   13 - 18 9 - 11 13 - 18 9 - 11 -4.7      -3.4 260 -1.2 199 69.0 199 -4.0 226 -3.8 6
288 Quinnipiac 0.0%   9 - 21 6 - 14 9 - 21 6 - 14 -8.2      -9.4 338 +1.2 140 72.3 118 -8.9 294 -7.7 9
300 Marist 0.0%   7 - 23 4 - 16 7 - 23 4 - 16 -9.2      -1.5 205 -7.7 338 69.3 189 -10.2 309 -10.9 11
303 Niagara 0.0%   7 - 25 5 - 15 7 - 25 5 - 15 -9.3      -6.9 319 -2.4 233 65.4 292 -10.8 312 -9.1 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Monmouth 1.0 100.0
Iona 2.0 100.0
Siena 3.0 100.0
Fairfield 4.0 100.0
St. Peter's 4.0 100.0
Rider 7.0 100.0
Canisius 7.0 100.0
Manhattan 6.0 100.0
Quinnipiac 9.0 100.0
Marist 11.0 100.0
Niagara 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Monmouth 17 - 3 100.0
Iona 16 - 4 100.0
Siena 13 - 7 100.0
Fairfield 12 - 8 100.0
St. Peter's 12 - 8 100.0
Rider 8 - 12 100.0
Canisius 8 - 12 100.0
Manhattan 9 - 11 100.0
Quinnipiac 6 - 14 100.0
Marist 4 - 16 100.0
Niagara 5 - 15 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Monmouth 100.0% 100.0
Iona
Siena
Fairfield
St. Peter's
Rider
Canisius
Manhattan
Quinnipiac
Marist
Niagara


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Monmouth 4.0% 0.0% 4.0% 2.8 1.1 0.0 96.0 4.0%
Iona 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14   0.3 9.6 80.8 9.4
Siena 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Fairfield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
St. Peter's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Rider 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Canisius 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Manhattan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Quinnipiac 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Marist 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Niagara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Monmouth 4.0% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Iona 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 12.9% 2.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Siena 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fairfield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Peter's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rider 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Canisius 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Manhattan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Quinnipiac 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marist 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Niagara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 96.0 4.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 98.6 1.4
2nd Round 13.2% 0.1 86.8 13.2 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 3.0% 0.0 97.0 3.0
Elite Eight 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0